Fuzzy Logic based Short Term Load Forecasting

##plugins.themes.academic_pro.article.main##

Amit Jain
Santosh Kumar Kukkadapu

Abstract

With increasing complexity of modern power systems, good quality load forecasting has become the necessary requirement for secure and reliable operation of power grid. Short term load forecasting plays vital role in daily operation of power grid to provide right inputs for the commitment of power generation units and dispatch. Fuzzy logic based short term load forecasting is described in this paper. To obtain the next-day load forecast, fuzzy logic is used to modify the load curves on selected similar days. A new Euclidean norm with weight factors is used for the selection of similar days. The proposed fuzzy logic based short term load forecasting method presented in the paper is illustrated through the simulation results on a typical data set.

##plugins.themes.academic_pro.article.details##

How to Cite
Jain, A., & Kukkadapu, S. K. (2013). Fuzzy Logic based Short Term Load Forecasting. Power Research - A Journal of CPRI, 321–328. Retrieved from https://cprijournal.in/index.php/pr/article/view/871

References

  1. G. Gross and F. D. Galiana, “Short-Term Load Forecasting,” Proceedings of IEEE, Vol. 75, pp. 1558 – 1573, 1987.
  2. A. D. Papalexopoulos and T. C. Hesterberg, “A regression-based approach to short-term load forecasting,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., Vol. 5, pp. 1535–1550, 1990.
  3. T. Haida and S. Muto, “Regression based peak load forecasting using a transformation technique,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., Vol. 9, pp. 1788–1794, 1994.
  4. S. Rahman and O. Hazim, “A generalized knowledge-based short term load-forecasting technique,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., Vol. 8, pp. 508–514, 1993.
  5. S. J. Huang and K. R. Shih, “Short-term load forecasting via ARMA model identifi cation including nongaussian process considerations,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., Vol. 18, pp. 673–679, 2003.
  6. H.Wu and C. Lu, “A data mining approach for spatial modeling in small area load forecast,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., Vol. 17, pp. 516–521, 2003.
  7. S. Rahman and G. Shrestha, “A priority vector based technique for load forecasting,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., Vol. 6, pp. 1459–1464, 1993.
  8. H. S. Hippert, C. E. Pedreira, and R. C. Souza, “Neural networks for short-term load forecasting: A review and evaluation,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., Vol. 16, pp. 44–55, 2001.
  9. C. N. Lu and S. Vemuri, “Neural network based short term load forecasting,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., Vol. 8, pp. 336–342, 1993.
  10. T. Senjyu, Uezato. T, Higa. P, “Future Load Curve Shaping based on similarity using Fuzzy Logic Approach,” IEE Proceedings of Generation, Transmission, Distribution, Vol. 145, pp. 375-380, 1998.
  11. S. Rahman and R. Bhatnagar, “An expert system based algorithm for short term load forecast,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., Vol. 3, pp. 392–399, 1988.
  12. T. Senjyu, Mandal. P, Uezato. K, Funabashi. T, “Next Day Load Curve Forecasting using Hybrid Correction Method,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., Vol. 20, pp. 102-109, 2005.
  13. P. A. Mastorocostas, J. B. Theocharis, and A. G. Bakirtzis, “Fuzzy modeling for short term load forecasting using the orthogonal least squares method,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., Vol. 14, pp. 29-36, 1999.
  14. M. Chow and H. Tram, “Application of fuzzy logic technology for spatial load forecasting,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., Vol. 12, pp. 1360-1366, 1997.

Most read articles by the same author(s)